馃幉 SP500 SECTORS: PROBABILITIES OF APPRECIATION 馃幉

馃幉 SP500 SECTORS: PROBABILITIES OF APPRECIATION 馃幉


Statically, 2023 might be positive due to there were a last bad year and January finished positive. That is not meaning the prices will be all time highs, but you could have a good performance if the seasonality index is considering [watch: https://lnkd.in/e5NiNGaW ].


The graph shows the probabilities of having a better return than last year on the blue line, and the 3-year on the red line. #Energy and maybe #HealthCare has the worst probability. However, there are divergences between the short-term (1 year) and long-term (3 years) with sectors as #Semiconductors and #Technology. The only consistency and the best winners might be #Communications, #RealEstate and perhaps, #Discretionary and #Financial.


Obviously, it will be necessary for the trader to make the correct selection of titles. This post will be written each 3 months, (more less each "earnings season") or each important event. The first time that this kind of post was published, was in November, when the market had done bottom [ https://lnkd.in/ekZkBzYX ]. So, perhaps the next will be in May.


The best analysis is yours!







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