馃摝 FEDEX CORPORATION: ANALYSIS 馃摝
FedEx Corporation provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. The company's FedEx Express segment offers express transportation, small-package ground delivery, and freight transportation services; time-critical transportation services; and cross-border enablement, technology, and e-commerce transportation solutions. Its FedEx Ground segment provides day-certain delivery services to businesses and residences. The company's FedEx Freight segment offers less-than-truckload freight transportation services.
On average (1 year), its margins are:
- Gross margin: ± 27%
- Operating margin: ± 7%
- Net income margin: ± 4%
- EBITDA margin: ± 11%
In May 31, 2023, its normalized EPS was ± $15.63 USD and its ROIC average was ± 6.68%. If an average forward PER 17 is set, the potential spread could be:
- Optimist: ± $283 USD
- Neutral: ± $265 USD
- Pessimist: ± $248 USD
In other hand, if it is considered an EBITDA increases of 8%, and Net Debt increases of 5% and a Shares Outstanding increase of 5%, with and EV/EBITDA 11 as a baseline, the price target could be ± $352 USD. This price will be equivalent to P/S 1 (May 31, 2023).
Pros: Revenue growth (10% year-over-year in Q4 FY23), earnings per share growth (24% year-over-year in Q4 FY23), strong customer demand, increased operating margins and continued investments in growth.
Cons: Rising fuel costs, increased competition, geopolitical risks (Ukraine and other possible regions), supply chain disruptions and a potential for economic slowdown.
The best analysis is yours!
J. Joel Padilla
https://jjoelpadilla.wixsite.com/jjpl-index
On average (1 year), its margins are:
- Gross margin: ± 27%
- Operating margin: ± 7%
- Net income margin: ± 4%
- EBITDA margin: ± 11%
In May 31, 2023, its normalized EPS was ± $15.63 USD and its ROIC average was ± 6.68%. If an average forward PER 17 is set, the potential spread could be:
- Optimist: ± $283 USD
- Neutral: ± $265 USD
- Pessimist: ± $248 USD
In other hand, if it is considered an EBITDA increases of 8%, and Net Debt increases of 5% and a Shares Outstanding increase of 5%, with and EV/EBITDA 11 as a baseline, the price target could be ± $352 USD. This price will be equivalent to P/S 1 (May 31, 2023).
Pros: Revenue growth (10% year-over-year in Q4 FY23), earnings per share growth (24% year-over-year in Q4 FY23), strong customer demand, increased operating margins and continued investments in growth.
Cons: Rising fuel costs, increased competition, geopolitical risks (Ukraine and other possible regions), supply chain disruptions and a potential for economic slowdown.
The best analysis is yours!
J. Joel Padilla
https://jjoelpadilla.wixsite.com/jjpl-index
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