馃獧 BITCOIN: PROFILE VOLUME 馃獧
Bitcoin [BTC] has lost momentum in recent months. There seems to be a correlation between shell companies, gambling, and the software industry. The difficulty with Bitcoin lies in determining its value, as it is merely a speculative zionist asset, whose behavior resembles that of a casino more than a financial valuation. Is it a coincidence that it correlates with these sectors of the stock market?
In any case, analyzing exclusively their numerical patterns and the most basic tool, volume, with a 3-year timeframe using weekly data, the main decision nodes in the price were:
1: ≈ $67,000 USD
2: ≈ $42,800 USD
3: ≈ $86,300 USD
The above shows strong support around $42,800 and strong resistance around $86,300. The $67,000 zone will be crucial in the coming weeks, as this is where market participants have expressed their confidence or doubts. In fact, if we consider the average between the highest traded price and the highest traded volume, applying a bearish/bullish volatility spectrum, a possible spread for the next 12 months could be:
Optimistic: ≈ $ 101,300 USD
Neutral: ≈ $ 76,600 USD
Pessimistic: ≈ $ 57,000 USD
Nevertheless, the vector that set the underlying trend in the long term for now, is ≈ $67,000 USD. Due to this, the possible spread for the next 12 months where the price will be for much time making bull/bear traps, could be at:
Optimistic: ≈ $ 88,600 USD
Neutral: ≈ $ 67,000 USD
Pessimistic: ≈ $ 49,900 USD
This makes sense when considering a maximum drop of -60% from the all-time high, which coincides with ≈ $49,900 USD. Although there is a bearish bias, the trend could turn bullish again, but the best-case scenario would be a return to the highs (establishing ≈ $88,600 USD as the new underlying vector).
In the past, bear markets have lasted a year. If this pattern repeats, capitulation could occur in the coming months. This might not happen due to the prevailing pessimism, and that is the expectation. The most likely scenario is an extreme bull trap, with prices trading below their highs, coinciding with a antoher bull trap rally in the software, gaming, and shell industries.
The best analysis is yours!
J. Joel Padilla
▶️ Blog: https://jjplindex.blogspot.com/
Copyright: Joel Padilla 2026
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